The COVID-19 Situation Report is a data intensive report that tries to portray an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. If you would like to add additional metrics to this report, please send a mail to the author at .

Date of Report

Numbers as on EOD 

## [1] "2021-05-02"

COVID-19 Overall Stats (Worldwide)

Overall Confirmed Cases Count Worldwide 

## [1] "152870507 (up from 152196159 yesterday: 0.44 % increase)"

Overall Deaths Worldwide

Please note that the deaths is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] "3202523 (up from 3192583 yesterday: 0.31 % increase)"

Overall Confirmed Cases Count Worldwide in the past 21 Days 

## [1] 16823879

Overall Fatality Rate Worldwide in %

Please note that the fatality rate is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] 2.09



In- Depth Country Wise Stats (With Atleast 100000 COVID-19 Confirmations)

Overall Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Country Wise (With Fatality Rates)

Country_Region TotalConfirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease TotalConfirmedinPast21Days TotalDeaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate
US 32421641 29367 0.09 1223764 577045 323 0.06 1.78
India 19925517 368060 1.88 6397800 218959 3417 1.59 1.10
Brazil 14754910 28935 0.20 1272887 407639 1202 0.30 2.76
France 5713393 9888 0.17 593808 104980 113 0.11 1.84
Turkey 4875388 25980 0.54 1026377 40844 340 0.84 0.84
Russia 4768476 8574 0.18 179267 109011 336 0.31 2.29
United Kingdom 4435831 1674 0.04 51221 127796 14 0.01 2.88
Italy 4044762 9145 0.23 274948 121177 144 0.12 3.00
Spain 3524077 0 0.00 176565 78216 0 0.00 2.22
Germany 3432676 8776 0.26 420518 83292 85 0.10 2.43
Argentina 3005259 11394 0.38 472697 64252 156 0.24 2.14
Colombia 2893655 15909 0.55 357457 74477 485 0.66 2.57
Poland 2803233 4616 0.16 228602 68068 144 0.21 2.43
Iran 2534855 18698 0.74 464714 72484 394 0.55 2.86
Mexico 2348873 1093 0.05 68660 217233 65 0.03 9.25
Ukraine 2137959 5217 0.24 232529 46447 166 0.36 2.17
Peru 1810998 11553 0.64 163304 62126 649 1.06 3.43
Indonesia 1677274 4394 0.26 110279 45796 144 0.32 2.73
Czechia 1634114 1182 0.07 53925 29343 27 0.09 1.80
South Africa 1584064 1222 0.08 25606 54417 11 0.02 3.44
Netherlands 1534264 5511 0.36 159813 17425 4 0.02 1.14
Canada 1240878 5966 0.48 173114 24269 24 0.10 1.96
Chile 1210920 7165 0.60 134421 26561 104 0.39 2.19
Iraq 1074930 4564 0.43 149984 15536 38 0.25 1.45
Romania 1057655 1083 0.10 51488 28282 88 0.31 2.67
Philippines 1054983 8330 0.80 190115 17431 77 0.44 1.65
Belgium 995562 2128 0.21 70086 24291 33 0.14 2.44
Sweden 973604 0 0.00 116203 14048 0 0.00 1.44
Israel 838554 73 0.01 2621 6366 3 0.05 0.76
Portugal 837277 330 0.04 9783 16977 1 0.01 2.03
Pakistan 834146 4213 0.51 108544 18149 79 0.44 2.18
Hungary 782892 1593 0.20 62728 27802 101 0.36 3.55
Bangladesh 761943 1359 0.18 77187 11579 69 0.60 1.52
Jordan 712901 824 0.12 47166 8897 26 0.29 1.25
Serbia 691920 989 0.14 49712 6409 23 0.36 0.93
Switzerland 659974 0 0.00 42431 10634 1 0.01 1.61
Austria 622110 1625 0.26 45103 10245 12 0.12 1.65
Japan 605150 5897 0.98 98913 10342 61 0.59 1.71
Lebanon 528208 700 0.13 31362 7324 22 0.30 1.39
United Arab Emirates 523795 1847 0.35 40048 1593 2 0.13 0.30
Morocco 511856 294 0.06 9754 9028 2 0.02 1.76
Saudi Arabia 419348 937 0.22 20913 6979 11 0.16 1.66
Malaysia 415012 3418 0.83 54156 1533 12 0.79 0.37
Bulgaria 405194 348 0.09 33201 16492 48 0.29 4.07
Ecuador 387299 2710 0.70 40482 18740 16 0.09 4.84
Slovakia 383098 378 0.10 12036 11766 34 0.29 3.07
Kazakhstan 381078 2637 0.70 57871 3349 8 0.24 0.88
Panama 365104 260 0.07 6493 6238 3 0.05 1.71
Belarus 361063 1081 0.30 25025 2562 10 0.39 0.71
Greece 346422 0 0.00 50942 10453 0 0.00 3.02
Nepal 336030 7137 2.17 56002 3325 27 0.82 0.99
Croatia 335173 944 0.28 42657 7182 52 0.73 2.14
Azerbaijan 321380 1058 0.33 35387 4561 23 0.51 1.42
Georgia 312445 988 0.32 24049 4151 21 0.51 1.33
Tunisia 311743 1009 0.32 39882 10868 60 0.56 3.49
Bolivia 306527 0 0.00 24432 13009 0 0.00 4.24
West Bank and Gaza 297638 1176 0.40 29506 3272 23 0.71 1.10
Paraguay 282543 1520 0.54 47251 6572 96 1.48 2.33
Kuwait 276586 1316 0.48 29492 1578 9 0.57 0.57
Dominican Republic 267455 594 0.22 9757 3493 6 0.17 1.31
Ethiopia 258384 322 0.12 29388 3726 17 0.46 1.44
Denmark 253607 867 0.34 15123 2491 1 0.04 0.98
Moldova 251335 175 0.07 10118 5838 12 0.21 2.32
Costa Rica 250991 0 0.00 28447 3231 0 0.00 1.29
Ireland 249838 401 0.16 8893 4906 0 0.00 1.96
Lithuania 249680 1025 0.41 23507 3950 13 0.33 1.58
Slovenia 241672 363 0.15 15173 4263 5 0.12 1.76
Egypt 229635 1051 0.46 19146 13469 67 0.50 5.87
Guatemala 228684 207 0.09 25613 7558 15 0.20 3.30
Armenia 216863 267 0.12 14046 4139 11 0.27 1.91
Honduras 213167 0 0.00 17387 5318 0 0.00 2.49
Qatar 206948 646 0.31 16923 472 7 1.51 0.23
Uruguay 202492 1584 0.79 57850 2724 55 2.06 1.35
Venezuela 200067 1202 0.60 25180 2172 17 0.79 1.09
Bosnia and Herzegovina 198461 0 0.00 16534 8551 0 0.00 4.31
Oman 195807 2554 1.32 24258 2043 33 1.64 1.04
Bahrain 179297 1300 0.73 22835 651 3 0.46 0.36
Libya 177871 363 0.20 10046 3039 10 0.33 1.71
Nigeria 165153 43 0.03 1354 2063 0 0.00 1.25
Kenya 160422 369 0.23 14752 2763 19 0.69 1.72
North Macedonia 152685 104 0.07 10841 4936 45 0.92 3.23
Burma 142838 7 0.00 262 3209 0 0.00 2.25
Albania 131238 53 0.04 2845 2397 1 0.04 1.83
Korea, South 123728 488 0.40 13582 1834 1 0.05 1.48
Estonia 122685 235 0.19 8511 1168 2 0.17 0.95
Algeria 122522 211 0.17 4006 3270 9 0.28 2.67
Latvia 119750 380 0.32 12142 2144 5 0.23 1.79
Norway 113469 210 0.19 9848 756 0 0.00 0.67
Sri Lanka 111753 1891 1.72 16622 696 9 1.31 0.62
Cuba 108693 1071 1.00 22162 664 10 1.53 0.61
Kosovo 103638 0 0.00 7752 2134 0 0.00 2.06
China 102530 13 0.01 474 4846 0 0.00 4.73

In Depth USA Stats (State Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- States of USA (With Fatality Rates)

State Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease TotalConfirmedinPast21Days Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
California 3744937 1256 0.03 44466 61939 73 0.12 1.65 94779.20 1567.59 1 in 11
Texas 2897110 1300 0.04 70133 50290 16 0.03 1.74 99914.54 1734.38 1 in 10
Florida 2242778 3841 0.17 118545 35268 29 0.08 1.57 104423.39 1642.07 1 in 10
New York 2054848 2826 0.14 98254 52358 49 0.09 2.55 105628.37 2691.44 1 in 9
Illinois 1339621 1861 0.14 59958 24358 28 0.12 1.82 105716.53 1922.22 1 in 9
Pennsylvania 1157285 2145 0.19 83361 26237 18 0.07 2.27 90398.84 2049.45 1 in 11
Georgia 1102789 1302 0.12 28997 20212 0 0.00 1.83 103865.98 1903.66 1 in 10
Ohio 1075004 985 0.09 35549 19284 0 0.00 1.79 91966.36 1649.74 1 in 11
New Jersey 1000010 1198 0.12 46520 25600 12 0.05 2.56 112585.97 2882.17 1 in 9
North Carolina 969752 0 0.00 40346 12651 0 0.00 1.30 92462.26 1206.23 1 in 11
Michigan 940175 0 0.00 119771 18893 0 0.00 2.01 94141.23 1891.79 1 in 11
Arizona 863927 356 0.04 14366 17344 6 0.03 2.01 113452.28 2277.64 1 in 9
Tennessee 847430 0 0.00 25345 12197 0 0.00 1.44 124017.04 1784.97 1 in 8
Indiana 722646 1069 0.15 23954 13349 11 0.08 1.85 107341.43 1982.85 1 in 9
Massachusetts 691172 893 0.13 31603 17621 4 0.02 2.55 99456.32 2535.58 1 in 10
Wisconsin 661685 476 0.07 16171 7567 -2 -0.03 1.14 113644.05 1299.63 1 in 9
Virginia 661314 761 0.12 25762 10791 14 0.13 1.63 77477.89 1264.25 1 in 13
Missouri 593474 787 0.13 4848 9148 3 0.03 1.54 96697.51 1490.53 1 in 10
South Carolina 580273 717 0.12 17582 9520 14 0.15 1.64 112702.51 1849.01 1 in 9
Minnesota 579235 1711 0.30 37182 7253 6 0.08 1.25 102707.94 1286.08 1 in 10
Alabama 528597 288 0.05 9698 10913 0 0.00 2.06 107806.86 2225.70 1 in 9
Colorado 513765 961 0.19 35087 6304 2 0.03 1.23 89214.89 1094.68 1 in 11
Louisiana 458581 0 0.00 9743 10382 0 0.00 2.26 98645.15 2233.27 1 in 10
Maryland 448989 649 0.14 22259 8776 12 0.14 1.95 74266.09 1451.62 1 in 13
Oklahoma 448305 0 0.00 5500 6788 0 0.00 1.51 113294.99 1715.45 1 in 9
Kentucky 445139 368 0.08 12054 6517 4 0.06 1.46 99635.54 1458.70 1 in 10
Washington 404709 0 0.00 28479 5499 0 0.00 1.36 53147.04 722.14 1 in 19
Utah 398012 279 0.07 7908 2204 1 0.05 0.55 124147.60 687.47 1 in 8
Iowa 365524 295 0.08 8505 5959 7 0.12 1.63 115852.90 1888.71 1 in 9
Connecticut 339233 0 0.00 17647 8097 0 0.00 2.39 95148.86 2271.07 1 in 11
Arkansas 336105 137 0.04 3952 5743 2 0.03 1.71 111373.26 1903.03 1 in 9
Nevada 315438 0 0.00 7414 5464 0 0.00 1.73 102409.75 1773.94 1 in 10
Mississippi 311900 0 0.00 4451 7199 0 0.00 2.31 104799.86 2418.90 1 in 10
Kansas 310600 0 0.00 4827 4945 0 0.00 1.59 106613.98 1697.38 1 in 9
Nebraska 220127 95 0.04 5920 2245 0 0.00 1.02 113795.54 1160.56 1 in 9
New Mexico 197733 0 0.00 4365 4067 0 0.00 2.06 94300.97 1939.60 1 in 11
Idaho 187656 0 0.00 4503 2046 0 0.00 1.09 104714.95 1141.70 1 in 10
Oregon 186344 747 0.40 15776 2501 3 0.12 1.34 44181.04 592.97 1 in 23
West Virginia 153918 420 0.27 7749 2686 7 0.26 1.75 86124.98 1502.95 1 in 12
Rhode Island 148186 0 0.00 7089 2671 0 0.00 1.80 139882.44 2521.33 1 in 7
Puerto Rico 133047 469 0.35 17748 2315 2 0.09 1.74 41659.28 724.87 1 in 24
South Dakota 122660 0 0.00 2955 1967 0 0.00 1.60 138652.29 2223.46 1 in 7
Montana 109030 45 0.04 2847 1574 0 0.00 1.44 102013.70 1472.71 1 in 10
North Dakota 107708 69 0.06 2963 1525 0 0.00 1.42 141337.58 2001.15 1 in 7
Delaware 104909 288 0.28 6339 1626 0 0.00 1.55 107735.55 1669.81 1 in 9
New Hampshire 95377 214 0.22 6523 1305 1 0.08 1.37 70145.05 959.76 1 in 14
Alaska 68148 0 0.00 3366 347 0 0.00 0.51 93156.27 474.34 1 in 11
Maine 61847 231 0.37 7887 789 0 0.00 1.28 46009.86 586.96 1 in 22
Wyoming 58142 0 0.00 1269 707 0 0.00 1.22 100459.78 1221.58 1 in 10
District of Columbia 47800 103 0.22 1970 1106 1 0.09 2.31 67729.46 1567.13 1 in 15
Hawaii 34082 112 0.33 2015 483 0 0.00 1.42 24071.38 341.13 1 in 42
Vermont 23126 94 0.41 1924 247 0 0.00 1.07 37061.55 395.84 1 in 27

US Tested- Confirmed Funnel (All States)

State Level Figures

State Tested Confirmed ConfirmationRate TestedinPast21Days ConfirmedinPast21Days ConfirmationRateForPast21Days TestsPerMillPopl
1 California 60265800 3744937 6.21 4186940 44466 1.06 1525244.5
2 Texas 23159846 2897110 12.51 1189539 70133 5.90 798728.8
3 Florida 22750514 2242778 9.86 1273621 118545 9.31 1059260.3
4 New York 51211393 2054848 4.01 3967166 98254 2.48 2632494.5
5 Illinois 22749403 1339621 5.89 1646996 59958 3.64 1795275.0
6 Pennsylvania 13087428 1157285 8.84 938839 83361 8.88 1022296.5
7 Georgia 8357971 1102789 13.19 382124 28997 7.59 787193.9
8 Ohio 12441450 1075004 8.64 1131341 35549 3.14 1064363.4
9 New Jersey 13658423 1000010 7.32 964190 46520 4.82 1537731.5
10 North Carolina 11360231 969752 8.54 594670 40346 6.78 1083156.0
11 Michigan 12914990 940175 7.28 976007 119771 12.27 1293198.6
12 Arizona 9190525 863927 9.40 428584 14366 3.35 1206914.5
13 Tennessee 7658583 847430 11.07 312456 25345 8.11 1120794.4
14 Indiana 9819124 722646 7.36 631875 23954 3.79 1458527.1
15 Massachusetts 21448496 691172 3.22 1700485 31603 1.86 3086335.2
16 Wisconsin 8300075 661685 7.97 452613 16171 3.57 1425533.6
17 Virginia 7051140 661314 9.38 370902 25762 6.95 826093.9
18 Missouri 5289735 593474 11.22 262408 4848 1.85 861881.4
19 South Carolina 6148991 580273 9.44 326011 17582 5.39 1194277.1
20 Minnesota 8566864 579235 6.76 588311 37182 6.32 1519046.6
21 Alabama 2506693 528597 21.09 70275 9698 13.80 511237.7
22 Colorado 7842609 513765 6.55 573480 35087 6.12 1361862.9
23 Louisiana 6491232 458581 7.06 304246 9743 3.20 1396326.0
24 Maryland 9728971 448989 4.61 638717 22259 3.48 1609243.5
25 Oklahoma 4009640 448305 11.18 170857 5500 3.22 1013310.4
26 Kentucky 4639522 445139 9.59 245791 12054 4.90 1038465.0
27 Washington 6548773 404709 6.18 433743 28479 6.57 859995.4
28 Utah 3294660 398012 12.08 142733 7908 5.54 1027667.9
29 Iowa 1429681 365524 25.57 36606 8505 23.23 453137.7
30 Connecticut 8056813 339233 4.21 580374 17647 3.04 2259793.7
31 Arkansas 2975065 336105 11.30 76491 3952 5.17 985830.9
32 Nevada 3183335 315438 9.91 140198 7414 5.29 1033498.0
33 Mississippi 1887703 311900 16.52 41830 4451 10.64 634277.1
34 Kansas 1374998 310600 22.59 39929 4827 12.09 471970.4
35 Nebraska 2851498 220127 7.72 155778 5920 3.80 1474093.4
36 New Mexico 3274367 197733 6.04 194816 4365 2.24 1561580.4
37 Idaho 708069 187656 26.50 22117 4503 20.36 395113.5
38 Oregon 4688860 186344 3.97 369457 15776 4.27 1111700.4
39 West Virginia 2759314 153918 5.58 187584 7749 4.13 1543977.1
40 Rhode Island 4019021 148186 3.69 338950 7089 2.09 3793816.3
42 South Dakota 779547 122660 15.73 27998 2955 10.55 881183.6
43 Montana 1312278 109030 8.31 67096 2847 4.24 1227830.3
44 North Dakota 1524267 107708 7.07 39056 2963 7.59 2000187.6
45 Delaware 1727204 104909 6.07 106615 6339 5.95 1773739.8
46 New Hampshire 1868098 95377 5.11 140083 6523 4.66 1373893.4
47 Alaska 2100065 68148 3.25 134017 3366 2.51 2870725.7
48 Maine 2079893 61847 2.97 207710 7887 3.80 1547295.4
49 Wyoming 726048 58142 8.01 27221 1269 4.66 1254491.1
50 District of Columbia 1524716 47800 3.14 101241 1970 1.95 2160422.5
51 Hawaii 1446009 34082 2.36 117806 2015 1.71 1021285.1
52 Vermont 1585122 23126 1.46 159605 1924 1.21 2540304.4

In Depth Italy Stats (Region Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Regions of Italy (With Fatality and Confirmation Rates)

Region Swabs Confirmations NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease ConfirmationRate HospitalizedWithSymptoms IntensiveCare ActiveCases Deceased FatalityRate
Lombardia 9564689 808046 1287 0.16 8.45 3290 542 52286 32945 4.08
Veneto 7191540 413142 329 0.08 5.74 897 149 21740 11365 2.75
Campania 4355232 395094 1352 0.34 9.07 1467 143 91237 6416 1.62
Emilia-Romagna 5630177 371137 950 0.26 6.59 1671 217 41763 12906 3.48
Piemonte 3988269 346977 702 0.20 8.70 2034 203 15473 11283 3.25
Lazio 6182041 325809 986 0.30 5.27 2160 269 43213 7699 2.36
Puglia 2242079 236781 810 0.34 10.56 1594 219 47637 5912 2.50
Toscana 4167136 228467 730 0.32 5.48 1296 250 20290 6219 2.72
Sicilia 3930215 210259 772 0.37 5.35 1148 163 24781 5423 2.58
Friuli Venezia Giulia 1859453 105403 24 0.02 5.67 217 34 7273 3714 3.52
Liguria 1453767 99837 202 0.20 6.87 475 61 5597 4194 4.20
Marche 1137308 98096 132 0.13 8.63 415 67 6101 2944 3.00
Abruzzo 1436150 71603 159 0.22 4.99 355 31 8733 2412 3.37
P.A. Bolzano 1386876 71349 72 0.10 5.14 65 5 1178 1162 1.63
Calabria 778545 60697 286 0.47 7.80 434 48 15225 1019 1.68
Sardegna 1193791 54815 124 0.23 4.59 362 49 16892 1389 2.53
Umbria 1176357 54603 65 0.12 4.64 171 30 2851 1357 2.49
P.A. Trento 770060 44115 38 0.09 5.73 63 20 1050 1345 3.05
Basilicata 340221 24232 77 0.32 7.12 159 9 6284 536 2.21
Molise 215689 13287 28 0.21 6.16 34 7 604 478 3.60
Valle d’Aosta 115231 11013 23 0.21 9.56 38 8 698 459 4.17

In Depth Canada Stats (With Province Level Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Provinces of Canada (With Fatality Rates)

Province Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
Ontario 477138 2543 0.54 8070 8 0.10 1.69 32432.27 548.54 1 in 31
Quebec 351880 1006 0.29 10942 9 0.08 3.11 41214.97 1281.61 1 in 24
Alberta 194898 1731 0.90 2086 3 0.14 1.07 44163.05 472.68 1 in 23
British Columbia 129482 0 0.00 1581 0 0.00 1.22 25334.40 309.34 1 in 39
Saskatchewan 41599 239 0.58 495 1 0.20 1.19 35203.69 418.90 1 in 28
Manitoba 39274 279 0.72 978 2 0.20 2.49 28510.72 709.97 1 in 35
Nova Scotia 2708 133 5.17 67 0 0.00 2.47 2770.45 68.55 1 in 361
New Brunswick 1939 6 0.31 37 1 2.78 1.91 2485.92 47.44 1 in 402
Newfoundland and Labrador 1099 18 1.67 6 0 0.00 0.55 2107.93 11.51 1 in 474
Nunavut 520 11 2.16 4 0 0.00 0.77 NA NA 1 in NA
Prince Edward Island 177 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 1119.13 0.00 1 in 894
Yukon 81 0 0.00 2 0 0.00 2.47 1971.86 48.69 1 in 507
Northwest Territories 57 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 1269.37 0.00 1 in 788
Repatriated Travellers 13 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 NA NA 1 in NA

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most confirmed COVID-19 cases as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Confirmed Cases Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Confirmed Cases Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Deaths)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most COVID-19 deaths as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Death Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Death Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Epidemic Curve: Delta in the past 24 hrs (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various countries. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 20 countries in the world as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Delta in Confirmed Cases

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Delta in Deaths

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Measuring Outbreak Velocity: 5 Day Lagging Average Doubling Time (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The velocity of an outbreak is determined by a construct known as doubling time. This value describes the number of days, on average, required for the number of cases to double in a given area. For our analysis we use average doubling time, which can be defined as the number of days, on average, required for the average number of COVID-19 cases to double in a given area.

This measure can describe COVID-19 behavior worldwide, in a country, or even in a smaller region such as a state. For our analysis, we will discuss average doubling time at a national level for the top 20 most affected countries.

Below, we have calculated average doubling time for several nations, on a trailing, rolling 5-day basisbased on today’s case values. A decline in average doubling time indicates that the COVID-19 outbreak (confirmation rate) is accelerating (average cases double in fewer days), while an increase of average doubling time indicates that the outbreak is slowing.

Ideally, when social distancing and lockdowns are implemented aggressively in a country and after some period of delay, doubling times should begin to increase in a matter of days, weeks, or months, depending upon the severity of the epidemic and the degree of social distancing achievable.

Given the fact that many countries across the world have already enacted or implemented social distancing measures, this is why one should be cautious not to extrapolate COVID-19 growth rates from trailing statistics.

5 Day Lagging Avg Doubling Time of Confirmations

Confirmed Cases and Deaths Per Million Population and Infection Odds

This metric confirmed cases per million population and deaths per million population shows the extent to which the disease has spread with respect to the population of the country. The metric Infection Odds shows 1 in how many people are infected with COVID-19 in the corresponding country.

For the top 20 countries with most confirmed cases excluding cruise ships

Country_Region ConfirmedCasesPerMillionPopl DeathsPerMillionPopl InfectionOdds
US 99088.14 1763.58 1 in 10
India 14880.89 163.52 1 in 67
Brazil 70496.46 1947.63 1 in 14
France 85287.25 1567.10 1 in 12
Turkey 60331.49 505.43 1 in 17
Russia 32999.83 754.40 1 in 30
United Kingdom 66764.46 1923.48 1 in 15
Italy 66877.68 2003.59 1 in 15
Spain 75526.73 1676.30 1 in 13
Germany 41462.45 1006.06 1 in 24
Argentina 67884.78 1451.37 1 in 15
Colombia 58969.94 1517.77 1 in 17
Poland 73808.14 1792.21 1 in 14
Iran 31232.81 893.10 1 in 32
Mexico 18180.13 1681.37 1 in 55
Ukraine NA NA 1 in NA
Peru 56294.62 1931.18 1 in 18
Indonesia 6353.31 173.47 1 in 157
Czechia 153437.93 2755.21 1 in 7
South Africa 27927.79 959.40 1 in 36

US Detailed State and County Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the state/ county level in USA.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in US States

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various US states. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 30 states in USA as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in US States

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Top 100 US Counties with the Highest Cases and Deaths

All NYC boroughs are mentioned together as New York County

County State Confirmations Deaths FatalityRate
Los Angeles California 1233772 23946 1.94
Maricopa Arizona 538124 9882 1.84
Cook Illinois 536384 9970 1.86
Miami-Dade Florida 485300 6182 1.27
Harris Texas 392976 6217 1.58
Dallas Texas 298959 3985 1.33
Riverside California 298450 4574 1.53
San Bernardino California 296089 4652 1.57
San Diego California 276520 3712 1.34
Kings New York 273437 10171 3.72
Queens New York 270843 9740 3.60
Orange California 270284 4969 1.84
Tarrant Texas 256962 3419 1.33
Clark Nevada 243942 4300 1.76
Broward Florida 237067 2904 1.22
Bexar Texas 217486 3485 1.60
Suffolk New York 197546 3352 1.70
Nassau New York 180730 3144 1.74
Bronx New York 179181 6474 3.61
Wayne Michigan 155417 4649 2.99
Salt Lake Utah 148226 848 0.57
Philadelphia Pennsylvania 147125 3466 2.36
Palm Beach Florida 143709 2770 1.93
Orange Florida 136967 1252 0.91
Hillsborough Florida 136014 1713 1.26
New York New York 135366 4398 3.25
El Paso Texas 134327 2658 1.98
Middlesex Massachusetts 132603 3721 2.81
Westchester New York 127913 2258 1.77
Franklin Ohio 124919 1385 1.11
Hennepin Minnesota 120196 1707 1.42
Santa Clara California 118424 2068 1.75
Pima Arizona 115289 2395 2.08
Milwaukee Wisconsin 115093 1345 1.17
Oakland Michigan 111429 2210 1.98
Cuyahoga Ohio 110740 2100 1.90
Mecklenburg North Carolina 109948 940 0.85
Kern California 108628 1354 1.25
Sacramento California 103043 1663 1.61
King Washington 102349 1515 1.48
Fresno California 101326 1678 1.66
Bergen New Jersey 101198 2829 2.80
Gwinnett Georgia 100888 1143 1.13
Marion Indiana 98637 1736 1.76
Fairfield Connecticut 98131 2165 2.21
St. Louis Missouri 97849 2184 2.23
Allegheny Pennsylvania 97760 1901 1.94
Duval Florida 97619 1398 1.43
Fulton Georgia 96443 1368 1.42
Essex Massachusetts 95677 2351 2.46
Providence Rhode Island 95637 1946 2.03
Utah Utah 95393 381 0.40
Macomb Michigan 94975 2255 2.37
Shelby Tennessee 94752 1610 1.70
Essex New Jersey 93273 2902 3.11
Middlesex New Jersey 91143 2307 2.53
Suffolk Massachusetts 91087 1820 2.00
Collin Texas 90064 820 0.91
New Haven Connecticut 89526 2069 2.31
DuPage Illinois 89043 1266 1.42
Davidson Tennessee 88945 931 1.05
Hidalgo Texas 88604 2824 3.19
Hudson New Jersey 87000 2221 2.55
Alameda California 86704 1519 1.75
Erie New York 86606 1752 2.02
Oklahoma Oklahoma 86030 1194 1.39
Wake North Carolina 85911 721 0.84
Prince George’s Maryland 83218 1457 1.75
Travis Texas 82448 997 1.21
Hartford Connecticut 81660 2394 2.93
Ventura California 80617 1009 1.25
Jefferson Kentucky 79606 1178 1.48
Hamilton Ohio 79544 1190 1.50
Pinellas Florida 79072 1609 2.03
Cobb Georgia 77809 1045 1.34
Jefferson Alabama 76199 1516 1.99
Fairfax Virginia 75942 1073 1.41
Worcester Massachusetts 75506 2190 2.90
Ocean New Jersey 74742 2115 2.83
Monmouth New Jersey 74446 1581 2.12
Denton Texas 74340 748 1.01
Will Illinois 74136 980 1.32
Tulsa Oklahoma 74049 1033 1.40
Greenville South Carolina 73669 996 1.35
Richmond New York 73008 1778 2.44
San Joaquin California 72478 1346 1.86
Passaic New Jersey 71630 1862 2.60
Douglas Nebraska 70713 668 0.94
Denver Colorado 70708 806 1.14
Union New Jersey 70399 1930 2.74
Montgomery Maryland 69922 1523 2.18
Lee Florida 69837 959 1.37
Kent Michigan 68438 793 1.16
Montgomery Pennsylvania 68153 1663 2.44
Contra Costa California 68115 800 1.17
Polk Florida 67979 1310 1.93
Fort Bend Texas 66783 662 0.99
Lake Illinois 66132 975 1.47
DeKalb Georgia 65431 998 1.53
Bristol Massachusetts 64985 1701 2.62

Overall US Choropleth Map

Choropleths are an ideal way to visualize the past/ current COVID-19 hotspots within a country. The below were the overall (not current) hotspots in the US.

County level COVID-19 Confirmations Map

Canada Detailed Province Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the province level in Canada.

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in the most affected Canadian provinces- Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in Canadian Provinces

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in Canadian Provinces

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Data Sources

Github Repo: CSSEGISandData, The NY Times, amodm/api-covid19-in and pcm-dpc